We're finally at the point in the college football offseason where we start seeing season predictions roll in, fans begin to buy into the hype and then get a little chippy when they disagree with what someone says about their team. It's a natural chain of events and it happens every year, to every team, regardless of how good they actually are.
South Point Sports Book in Las Vegas has released their betting lines for the 2016 college football season, and they have the West Virginia Mountaineers sitting at 6.5 wins.
Now, before you grab your pitchforks and torches and head to Vegas, let's talk about this like adults.
Bill Connelly of SB Nation broke down the Mountaineers last week using advanced stats and whatever other witchcraft he uses to determine his eerily close projections, and he came up with West Virginia winning 6.9 games. So we'll just call that 7 projected wins, because how can you win nine-tenths of a game? (Don't answer this, I'm sure the Mountaineers have managed to somehow do it before).
With Vegas setting the line at 6.5, and Bill C's advanced stats saying the Mountaineers are likely to win seven games, everything lines up pretty well for a not-so-great season for West Virginia and Dana Holgorsen. Holgorsen likely needs at least a nine win season to get the contract extension he's looking for from Shane Lyons, or the Mountaineers may be riding the coaching carousel come January.
West Virginia's schedule sets up pretty well for them, in my biased opinion, and I personally believe the Mountaineers will exceed expectations and get that nine win season, but the conditions are there for a stumble and another mediocre finish if they're not careful.
South Point also set the line for other Big 12 schools and have Oklahoma at 10, Baylor at 9.5 (prior to Art Briles' termination), Oklahoma State at 8.5, TCU at 8, Texas Tech at 7, and Texas also at 6.5. Kansas State comes in with 5.5 wins, while Iowa State sits at 3.5 and Kansas bring up the rear with 1.5.